Sergio Carol Llopart

Sergio Carol Llopart

Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
20K followers 500+ connections

About

Sergio Carol Llopart
sergio@sergiocarol.com
Tel. 600 92 11 19

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Experience

  • SergioCarol.com

    Barcelona, Cataluña, España

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    Barcelona, Cataluña, España

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    Sant Cugat del Vallés (Barcelona)

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    Sant Cugat del Vallés

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    Barcelona y alrededores, España

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    Sant Cugat del Vallés

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    Barcelona

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    Barcelona (España)

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Education

  • IESE Business School Graphic
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    Activities and Societies: CERTEC, Centre d'Estudis del Risc Tecnològic

    Doctorado en Ingeniería Industrial.

    'Una nueva metodología para la predicción de la gravedad de los accidentes industriales aplicando el análisis histórico'

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    Activities and Societies: Curso de liderazgo

Licenses & Certifications

Publications

  • Economic Valuation of Damages Originated by Major Accidents in Port Areas

    Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries

    Due to special features of ports – variety of activities: storage and loading/unloading of hazardous materials; circulation of ships, lorries and trains; proximity to urban zones; etc. – major accidents can be associated with severe damages. The cost of such accidents must be known to allow for compensation to people and companies. A procedure is presented to estimate the cost of damages suffered by people, equipment and environment. Criteria to assess the cost of damage to people – a…

    Due to special features of ports – variety of activities: storage and loading/unloading of hazardous materials; circulation of ships, lorries and trains; proximity to urban zones; etc. – major accidents can be associated with severe damages. The cost of such accidents must be known to allow for compensation to people and companies. A procedure is presented to estimate the cost of damages suffered by people, equipment and environment. Criteria to assess the cost of damage to people – a controversial issue – are discussed, establishing a method to predict the number of people killed, injured and evacuated. Economic compensation is proposed. Environmental damages are also considered. These include potential damage to the atmosphere, soil, water and fauna. Estimates of the cost of the equipment and buildings affected by the accident are proposed. Finally, an assessment of the loss of profits due to activity breakdown and indirect costs is analysed. The methodology presented can easily be extended to general, inland process and storage sites.

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  • Consequences of Major Accidents: Assessing the Number of Injured People

    Journal of Hazardous Materials

    Quantitative risk assessment studies of accident scenarios usually involve estimating the number of fatalities that can be expected. The number of people injured, however, is seldom evaluated because it implies significant additional effort and often the information required to perform this evaluation is not available. However, the number of injured people can be very important for emergency planning, especially in relatively large accidents. In this paper, a set of 975 accidents were selected…

    Quantitative risk assessment studies of accident scenarios usually involve estimating the number of fatalities that can be expected. The number of people injured, however, is seldom evaluated because it implies significant additional effort and often the information required to perform this evaluation is not available. However, the number of injured people can be very important for emergency planning, especially in relatively large accidents. In this paper, a set of 975 accidents were selected for analysis, with the aim of searching for a relationship between the number of people killed and the number of people injured. As the data were scattered, principal component analysis and clustering analysis were applied to identify the data subsets that could undergo a selective, specific statistical treatment. Further treatment of these subsets led to mathematical expressions that are used to estimate the probable number of injured people as a function of the number of fatalities for all accidents, as well as for gas cloud, fire and explosion events, respectively.

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  • A Quantitative Risk Analysis Approach to Port Hydrocarbon Logistics

    Journal of Hazardous Materials

    Aplicación de conceptos de Análisis Quantitativo del Riesgo en entornos portuários, aplicados al tráfico de buques con mercancías peligrosas y operaciones de carga / descarga de productos peligrosos. Utilización del resultado para el cálculo del coste de los accidentes promediado por su frecuencia de ocurrencia. /// A method is presented that allows quantitative risk analysis to be performed on marine hydrocarbon terminals sited in ports. A significant gap was identified in the technical…

    Aplicación de conceptos de Análisis Quantitativo del Riesgo en entornos portuários, aplicados al tráfico de buques con mercancías peligrosas y operaciones de carga / descarga de productos peligrosos. Utilización del resultado para el cálculo del coste de los accidentes promediado por su frecuencia de ocurrencia. /// A method is presented that allows quantitative risk analysis to be performed on marine hydrocarbon terminals sited in ports. A significant gap was identified in the technical literature on QRA for the handling of hazardous materials in harbours published prior to this work. The analysis is extended to tanker navigation through port waters and loading and unloading facilities. The steps of the method are discussed, beginning with data collecting. As to accident scenario identification, an approach is proposed that takes into account minor and massive spills due to loading arm failures and tank rupture. Frequency estimation is thoroughly reviewed and a shortcut approach is proposed for frequency calculation. This allows for the two-fold possibility of a tanker colliding/grounding at/near the berth or while navigating to/from the berth. A number of probability data defining the possibility of a cargo spill after an external impact on a tanker are discussed. As to consequence and vulnerability estimates, a scheme is proposed for the use of ratios between the numbers of fatal victims, injured and evacuated people. Finally, an example application is given, based on a pilot study conducted in the Port of Barcelona, where the method was tested.

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  • RONZA, A.; Carol, S.; ESPEJO, V.; VILCHEZ, J.A.; ARNALDOS, J. (2006). A Quantitative Risk Analysis Approach to Port Hydrocarbon Logistics. Journal of Hazardous Materials.

    Journal of Hazardous Materials

    Aplicación de conceptos de Análisis Quantitativo del Riesgo en entornos portuários, aplicados al tráfico de buques con mercancías peligrosas y operaciones de carga / descarga de productos peligrosos. Utilización del resultado para el cálculo del coste de los accidentes promediado por su frecuencia de ocurrencia

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  • A Survey of Accidents in Ports

    Loss Prevention Bulletin

    A total of 1.033 accidents that occurred in ports from the beginning of the 20th Century up to October 2003 have been analysed and statistically treated to study the following aspects:
    · Frequency as a function of time;
    · Type and cause of accidents;
    · Consequences on people (number of deaths, injured people and evacuated people), etc.

    The relative importance of the diverse types of accidents has also been studied, as well as the variation of the severity of accidents as a…

    A total of 1.033 accidents that occurred in ports from the beginning of the 20th Century up to October 2003 have been analysed and statistically treated to study the following aspects:
    · Frequency as a function of time;
    · Type and cause of accidents;
    · Consequences on people (number of deaths, injured people and evacuated people), etc.

    The relative importance of the diverse types of accidents has also been studied, as well as the variation of the severity of accidents as a function of the state of development of the countries.

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  • Proyecto FLEXRIS. Nueva metodología Flexible para la valoración económica de los Riesgos ambientales. Aplicación a la logística de hidrocarburos en el Port de Barcelona. Sección 1: daños accidentales

    Barcelona: CERTEC, report prepared for Port de Barcelona

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  • Proyecto FLEXRIS. Nueva metodología Flexible para la valoración económica de los Riesgos ambientales. Aplicación a la logística de hidrocarburos en el Port de Barcelona. Sección 1: daños accidentales

    Barcelona: CERTEC, report prepared for Port de Barcelona

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  • Predicting the Frequency of Accidents in Port Areas by Developing Event Trees from Historical Analysis

    Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries

    The historical analysis of 828 accidents in port areas, which have been selected from a database, has been used to identify the sequences of the accidents. Processing these data has allowed the event trees and the probability of the various accident scenarios to be determined. By using these event trees and figures detailing the frequency of the events that initiated the accidents, as taken from various authors, the frequency of the accidents has been determined.

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